Alabama Special Election Prediction

Today is Alabama’s special election for the Senate seat vacated by Jeff Sessions’ appointment. Let’s play the prediction game: who do you think will win, and by what margin?

In Alabama, even a poor Republican candidate should win by about twenty points. But not today. The election seems very close, to the point where I wouldn’t be surprised if Doug Jones pulls an upset.

Still, I expect Roy Moore to squeak by; Roy Moore by two points.

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